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RICE TO BAYERN, NEYMAR TO MAN UNITED, & MORE: RANKING TRANSFER PROBABILITY FOR THIS SUMMER'S HOTTEST

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A year ago



Ranking the transfer probability of the hottest players this summer

Many players will change clubs this summer, including many established stars.



In no particular order, we'll bring you the latest on some of the most valuable and talked about players ahead of this transfer window.


Victor Osimhen is Europe's most wanted striker. Valued at €100m by Transfermarkt, he is certain to sell for a premium wherever he goes after scoring 30 goals for champions Napoli in surprise. English clubs are interested but let's see if they are willing to negotiate with the eccentric Napoli president. Transfer probability:

30% join Chelsea or Man United


Declan Rice has been at West Ham for too long. This summer seems to be the time for him to leave, hoping to lead his side to victory in the Conference League. Chelsea gave up in this race after years of chasing, but Arsenal and, surprisingly, Bayern joined.


Transfer probability:

50% join Arsenal, 40% join Bayern


Christopher Nkunku seems to be Chelsea's destiny after the Blues seemed to have agreed everything months ago. However, there is no official statement yet.


Transfer probability:

90% in Chelsea


Bernardo Silva could be on the move with Paris Saint-Germain interested and Barca lurking in the background. However, it's hard to see him leaving at the moment as interest doesn't seem to be strong.



Transfer probability:

10% when leaving Man City to go to any club


According to reliable sources from England and Germany, Josko Gvardiol is a transfer from Man City. He will most likely overtake Harry Maguire as the world's most expensive centre-back if he continues.


Transfer probability:

30% joined Man City



Dusan Vlahovic may still be blaming himself for not accepting Arsenal's offer a few years ago when his move to Juventus was a nightmare due to Juventus' pranks off the pitch and Massimiliano's tackle. Allegri. His salvation may be Bayern Munich in need of a striker but nothing is certain. Transfer probability:

25% at Chelsea


Achraf Hakimi is said to be looking to leave PSG, but it is unclear which club is willing to take him back. His former club Inter Milan, the only candidate named in the rumors, doesn't seem to have enough money to pay him.


Transfer probability:

10% leave PSG as it is now


Neymar stopped caring about anything about PSG long ago and didn't even celebrate the championship. However, he picked up the phone when Pep Guardiola called, according to French sources. However, there are still no signs that he will move to Man City. Transfer probability:

40% left PSG but only 10% went to Man City


Mason Mount looks very close to Man United after failing to agree a new contract with his boyhood club Chelsea. He wants to play in the Champions League and Man United is not a stingy club. Chelsea players looked doomed to lose him - his close friend Reece James said:

"It would be very sad if he left."


Transfer probability:

80% at Manchester United


Kai Havertz suddenly became the replacement target of Real Madrid none other than Karim Benzema. It sounds ridiculous, but it makes a lot of sense and, according to top Spanish sources, interest is high.


Transfer probability:

50% join Real Madrid


Moises Caicedo was a high-level player in the production. The dynamic midfielder is an energetic ball-winner and Brighton head coach Roberto De Zerbi has previously said he wants his star to leave. Arsenal, Chelsea, Man United, Liverpool all want it - who's willing to pay the big bucks?


Transfer probability:

75% leave Brighton


James Maddison won't spend next season at the Championship, 

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