Supercomputer predicts Liverpool's Champions League chances after win against Tottenham
Liverpool's chances of securing a Champions League spot were given a boost after they beat Tottenham Hotspur 4-3 in the Premier League. However, with Manchester United and Newcastle winning their games as well, Liverpool's chances of finishing in the top four are still slim. Despite their recent run of four consecutive wins, they remain seven points behind fourth-placed Manchester United, having played one game more.
The club's priority is to qualify for the Champions League, but the task seems difficult with only five games remaining this season. Even if Liverpool win all their remaining games, they may not accumulate enough points to qualify for the top four. This has been reflected in the predictions of respected statistics website FiveThirtyEight, which still suggests Liverpool will not finish in the top four. However, the website has predicted that Liverpool will finish fifth, just outside the Champions League positions. Manchester City is predicted to win the title with 90 points, six ahead of second-placed Arsenal. Liverpool is expected to finish on 66 points, dropping five over the course of the final five fixtures.
Manchester United is predicted to finish fourth, seven points ahead of Liverpool with 73 points. Newcastle is predicted to finish third with 74 points. Even if Liverpool win all their remaining games, they will not be able to finish higher than 71 points. This is not projected to be enough for a top-four finish, although it has been sufficient in the past two seasons. FiveThirtyEight has given Liverpool a nine per cent likelihood of making up the ground to finish in the top four. This is significantly lower than Manchester United (91 per cent) and Newcastle (95 per cent). Brighton has been given only a four per cent chance, while Tottenham has not been given any chance of finishing in the top four after their defeat to Liverpool.
Liverpool may be planning for a season without Champions League football next season. The best-case scenario for them is to compete in the Europa League instead. The impact of not qualifying for the Champions League on the club's transfer business this summer remains to be seen. It is expected that Liverpool has already prepared for the possibility of not competing in the Champions League. However, only those at the club will know for sure what this involves.
Liverpool's win against Tottenham was significant, as it moved them up to fifth place in the table. However, their chances of qualifying for the Champions League remain slim. They need to win their remaining games and hope that Manchester United and Newcastle drop points in their fixtures. Liverpool fans will be hoping for a miracle, but the reality is that they may have to settle for a Europa League spot this season. Klopp and his team will be looking to finish the season strongly and prepare for the next campaign, whatever that may bring.
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