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November 23rd , 2024

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NEW PREDICTION OF THE CLUBS WITH HIGHER CHANCES OF FINISHING IN THE ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE TOP 4

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A year ago



There are only two weeks left to finish the 2022/2023 Premier League season. Each club is trying their best to use the remaining matches to finish in a better position.



FiveThirtyEight has made a new prediction about which clubs can finish in the top 4 this season after the 36th week of the English Premier League.


Newcastle United and Manchester United each have an 81% chance of finishing in the top four of the Premier League. They each have 66 points after playing 35 EPL games this season. Newcastle United drew 2-2 while Manchester United won 2-0 against Wolverhampton in the week 36 game.



Liverpool have a 37% chance of finishing in the top 4 of the Premier League. The Red Devils have won the last 7 EPL matches, rising to 5th place with 65 points. They won 0-3 against Leicester City in the match in round 36.



Brighton's 0-3 win over Arsenal in week 36 has increased their chances of finishing in the top four in the Premier League by 2%. They are sixth on the EPL leaderboard with 58 points.  


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Brighton have had a few weeks of ups and downs in the Premier League.


Four-match streak with wins over Man U and Wolves.


However, it also includes losses to relegation contenders Forest and Everton, with eight goals conceded in just those two games.


Brighton followed up that streak with a win over Arsenal on Sunday, with those three points meaning they still have a chance of finishing in the top four this season.



Brighton will now march to St James' Park for a big game. Defeat will make it impossible for them to catch Newcastle United mathematically and almost certainly their dim hopes of next season's Champions League will indeed be extinguished.


However, Brighton's win will put them three points behind Newcastle United and Man U, with the trio of clubs all having three games left, Liverpool one point behind Newcastle and Man U but Scousers have played one more game.


Like Eddie Howe, Roberto De Zerbi has a much smaller squad than Erik ten Hag and Jurgen Klopp.



So the last thing the Brighton boss needs is a massive injury list at this crucial stage of the season...


The Premier League Injuries site) points out these Brighton players who are expected to miss Thursday night's game against Newcastle United:



Adam Lallana - Former Liverpool midfielder is definitely absent because of a thigh injury.



Solly March - Another match missed because of a thigh injury. Tariq Lamptey - Out due to a knee injury.


Adam Webster – Missed due to muscle injury.


Joel Veltman – Big doubt with thigh injury.


Jeremy Sarmiento – ankle injury, will be absent.


Jakub Moder - Miss has a knee injury. Facundo Buonanotte - Should be benched but not considered the main kick.


Julio Enciso - Kicking off on Sunday, doubts surround him but the Brighton boss says he believes he will be ready for Newcastle.


Enock Mwepu - Disappears with a chest problem. 

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