Every team gets what they deserve at the end of the Premier League season, right? Also not according to the expected score rankings.
While there may be minor details about some of the cup finals that will be played, the top teams in England wrapped up their league campaign on Sunday afternoon.
The headline was of course Abdoulaye Doucoure keeping Everton in the league and avoiding relegation for the first time since 1952 and instead knocking out Leeds United and Leicester City.
Unfortunately, the fans' rejection was much more dramatic, with Manchester City clinching their title and Manchester United taking the final spot in the top four at the weekend. Advertisement
Some thoughts have turned to what will happen around this time next year, especially with Luton Town securing the tournament's final spot with a play-off overall win.
Meanwhile, others are still dissecting what has happened since last August and deciding who deserves to take home all sorts of prizes, including us here at SPORTbible.
It's been a few weeks since an Arsenal fan suggested another way to decide the league and now someone else has found one.
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The "expected score" table shows how the tournament would end if each team reached its xG in every match, whether it was a goal scored or a goal conceded.
City are still racing against the league and will practically blow Arsenal away while Brighton will qualify for the Champions League. pic.twitter.com/R1owZ2uLcf
– xG Philosophy (@xGPilosophy) May 30, 2023
Some fans have known teasing xG as a silly way to gain insight into how well a team has dominated a game.
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However, while it still has its flaws, it's a much better metric to measure a team's quality in front of goal and defense all season long.
If a team takes a good position but doesn't score, they will have a high xG but actually get no bonus in the actual draw.
The fact that Brighton would be in a better position if they switched their xG shows that their historic scoring problem persists even with an improvement.
The biggest losers of the whole situation were the relegated Leicester, Leeds and Southampton, who would have stood if the season had passed "as it should have", this is a first.
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