As Ghana approaches its highly anticipated 2024 general elections, a recent poll by Global InfoAnalytics suggests former President John Dramani Mahama is leading the race in the early stages. The findings, released on November 28, 2024, indicate that Mahama, representing the National Democratic Congress (NDC), is gaining momentum among voters, particularly in areas where economic and social issues dominate public discourse.
Mahama's Lead and Voter Sentiments
The survey reveals Mahama's appeal to voters seeking change in leadership amid Ghana’s ongoing economic challenges. Many respondents highlighted his track record in infrastructure and social interventions during his previous tenure, viewing him as a leader capable of stabilizing the nation. Mahama’s lead, according to the poll, is attributed to strong support in urban and peri-urban areas, where concerns about unemployment and inflation remain high.
Key Factors Influencing the Polls
Economic Issues:
Ghana’s economic landscape has been a pivotal issue for voters. Rising costs of living, unemployment, and the depreciation of the cedi have dominated political discussions. Mahama's campaign has focused on offering pragmatic solutions, resonating with those affected by these economic challenges.
NDC’s Strong Grassroots Engagement:
The NDC has intensified its grassroots mobilization, leveraging community-based interactions to strengthen its voter base. Mahama's consistent engagement with the electorate has boosted his visibility and credibility.
PNC’s Endorsement of Mahama:
The People’s National Convention (PNC), despite its disqualification from the presidential race, has thrown its weight behind Mahama. This endorsement adds significant political capital, consolidating opposition forces and bolstering his campaign.
The Role of Bawumia and the NPP
Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential candidate, remains a formidable contender. The poll shows Bawumia commanding a strong lead in the Ashanti Region, a traditional stronghold of the NPP. His campaign focuses on digital transformation and continuity of NPP policies, appealing to young voters and party loyalists.
However, challenges such as internal party disputes and voter fatigue with the current administration’s perceived economic mismanagement could hinder his momentum.
Peace and Collaboration Amidst Tension
As the election nears, stakeholders, including civil society groups and international observers, have urged candidates to prioritize peace. A peace pact involving all 12 presidential aspirants is set to be signed, demonstrating a collective commitment to non-violence during the elections.
Looking Ahead
While Mahama’s lead in the early polls offers a promising outlook for the NDC, the race remains highly competitive. With several weeks left before the elections, voter dynamics may shift as campaigns intensify. Both Mahama and Bawumia will need to address critical national issues effectively to secure the trust and votes of Ghanaians.
The Global InfoAnalytics survey provides valuable insights into the electoral landscape, underscoring the complexities and stakes of the 2024 elections. This report is based on information sourced from ModernGhana.
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