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In a significant shift, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently stated that the ongoing war with Russia might come to an end without reclaiming all of the territory seized by Moscow. For the first time, Zelenskyy acknowledged that Ukraine could retake the occupied lands later through diplomatic efforts, provided that the nation’s NATO membership is secured. This marks a departure from his earlier stance, which emphasized the return of all occupied territories as a condition for peace. But why the change, and what does this mean for Ukraine’s future?
In a November 29 interview with Sky News, Zelenskyy emphasized that the "hot phase" of the war could be concluded if NATO extended security guarantees for the territories currently under Ukrainian control. These territories would remain safeguarded under NATO protection, while the lands currently under Russian occupation could be addressed diplomatically in the future. Zelenskyy’s message was clear: the immediate goal is to halt the fighting and ensure Ukraine’s sovereignty is preserved, with the potential for a longer-term resolution regarding the occupied regions.
Zelenskyy’s stance was further reinforced in an interview with Japan’s Kyodo News, where he reiterated that NATO protection for the areas under Ukraine’s control would pave the way for a ceasefire. The possibility of reclaiming the lost territories, he suggested, could be handled diplomatically, eliminating the immediate military conflict that has taken a heavy toll on the country.
Zelenskyy’s recent shift reflects the harsh realities of the war and the immense challenges Ukraine faces in reclaiming the territories taken by Russia. Since 2014, Russia has annexed approximately 20% of Ukraine’s land, including Crimea. More recently, in 2022, Russia seized parts of the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia regions. These losses have left the Ukrainian military in a difficult position, unable to immediately retake the vast swaths of territory through military means alone.
International relations expert Timothy Ash believes that this change in strategy is a “major compromise” by Zelenskyy but acknowledges that it is a pragmatic response to the evolving dynamics of the war. “The focus is now on securing what Ukraine can, under its control, and ensuring that Putin cannot simply take more ground in the future,”
Despite this shift, Zelenskyy’s core objective remains unchanged: safeguarding Ukraine’s independence and securing long-term peace. His strategic pivot underscores the importance of securing Ukraine’s existing borders and ensuring that any peace agreement includes guarantees to prevent further Russian aggression. Zelenskyy also emphasized the necessity of direct dialogue with key international players, including the U.S. and its leaders, to secure a favorable outcome for Ukraine’s security.
The decision to pursue diplomatic means for resolving the conflict over territory does not imply surrender but rather an acknowledgment that the war’s resolution might require new approaches in the face of an entrenched and well-equipped adversary. As Zelenskyy continues to push for NATO membership and international security guarantees, the world watches closely, awaiting the next phase of this ongoing conflict.
In conclusion, Zelenskyy’s willingness to shift his stance on Ukraine’s territorial claims signals a significant moment in the war with Russia. His new approach reflects a strategic compromise aimed at ending the bloodshed while maintaining the country’s sovereignty. As Ukraine navigates this complex path, the international community's role will be crucial in ensuring that peace does not come at the expense of the nation's future.
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